The Tulsa Golden Hurricane host the East Carolina Pirates in a Friday night clash between AAC squads. Though Tulsa has endured two cancelled games, the Golden Hurricane are 2-1 overall and a perfect 2-0 in AAC action this season. East Carolina also had a game cancelled, and the Pirates are 1-3 on the season after a 27-23 home loss to Navy on Oct. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET.
The latest East Carolina vs. Tulsa odds from William Hill list the Golden Hurricane as 17-point favorites, down 1.5 points from the opening line. The over-under for total points expected is up to 61.5 after opening at 59.5. Before making any Tulsa vs. East Carolina picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $4,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 29-19 on top-rated picks through seven weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning nearly $500 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- East Carolina vs. Tulsa spread: Tulsa -17
- East Carolina vs. Tulsa over-under: 61.5 points
- East Carolina vs. Tulsa money line: Tulsa -750, East Carolina +525
- East Carolina: The Pirates are 2-2 against the spread this season
- Tulsa: The Golden Hurricane are 10-5 against the spread in the last 15 games
Why East Carolina can cover
The Pirates have a strong quarterback/running back combination, which should help them keep this game competitive against a tough Tulsa squad. Quarterback Holton Ahlers, who is projected to return after missing last week’s tilt due to COVID-19 procedure, is a two-way threat. Ahlers has more than 1,000 career rushing yards across two-plus seasons, and he passed for more than 3,300 yards and 21 touchdowns in 2019. On the ground, freshman running back Rahjai Harris is the centerpiece of a top-five rushing offense in the conference, putting up 330 yards and three touchdowns already this season.
Harris averages 5.8 yards per carry and, with his explosiveness, the Pirates are putting up nearly 200 rushing yards per game. Tulsa has many strengths, but has struggled to convert yardage into points this season, ranking third-worst in the AAC at 27.7 points per game. Much of that can be traced to struggles on third down, where the Golden Hurricane are converting a dismal 33.3 percent of their chances in 2020.
Why Tulsa can cover
Tulsa has been a tremendous defensive team to this point in 2020, and that is on display in its statistical profile. The Golden Hurricane rank second-best in the AAC in scoring defense, allowing just 18.3 points per game, and they are also second-best in total defense, giving up just 348 total yards per contest. Against an East Carolina team that lands in the bottom four in total offense, Tulsa has a significant advantage when its defense is on the field.
On the other side, East Carolina is dead-last in the AAC in scoring defense, with opponents averaging 37.8 points per game. Tulsa should be able to take advantage of that weakness, and the Pirates are also fourth-worst in total defense (458.3 yards allowed per game) and second-worst in rushing defense (212.8 yards allowed per game) so far in 2020.
How to make East Carolina vs. Tulsa picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with East Carolina projected for less than 3.5 yards per carry and Tulsa’s Zach Smith being held under 300 yards passing in the simulations. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins ECU vs. Tulsa? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Tulsa vs. ECU spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up almost $4,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.